Swing State Tracker
Monitor 7 key battleground states. See electoral votes, polling averages, lean indicators, and mini bar charts. Click "Shift" to experiment with lean scenarios.
Why Swing States Matter
The electoral college makes a handful of states decisive in every presidential election.
Electoral Votes
These 7 states hold 118 electoral votes β enough to swing any election. Every campaign targets them with ads, rallies, and ground operations.
Polling Trends
Each state has unique demographic and political trends. Mini bar charts show recent poll results at a glance.
Scenario Planning
Use the Shift buttons to change leans and see how different electoral scenarios change the path to 270.
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about swing states and the tracker.
A swing state (or battleground state) is one where both major political parties have a reasonable chance of winning. These states are closely contested and receive the most campaign attention, advertising money, and candidate visits.
The polling averages shown are hypothetical data for demonstration purposes. In real use, they would be calculated from recent high-quality polls combined using a weighted average model that accounts for pollster quality and recency.
Yes. Click the "Shift" button on any state card to cycle through Democratic, Republican, and Tossup. This lets you experiment with different electoral scenarios and see how the path to 270 changes in real time.
These 7 states collectively hold 118 electoral votes and have voted for both parties in recent elections. They are widely considered the most competitive states that can determine the election outcome. Winning the right combination of these states is the key to reaching 270.
Florida 30, Pennsylvania 19, Ohio 17, North Carolina 16, Arizona 11, Wisconsin 10, Michigan 15. Total: 118 electoral votes among these 7 states. Safe Democratic and Republican states account for the remaining 420 electoral votes.